Consider the following work breakdown structure: Time Estimates (days) Activity Precedes Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic Start A,B - - - A C,D 44 50 56 B D 45 60 75 C E 42 45 48 D F 31 40 49 E F 27 36 39 F End 58 70 82 What is the probability that the critical path for this project will be completed within 210 days

Answers

Answer 1

Answer: the probability that the critical path for this project will be completed within 210 days is 0.99725

Step-by-step explanation:

Given that;

Work break down is;  

 Time Estimates (days)

Activity  Precedes  Optimistic  Most Likely  Pessimistic  

Start          A,B              -                    -                   -  

A               C,D             44                50                 56  

B               D                45                60                  75  

C               E                42                45                   48  

D               F                31                 40                   49  

E               F                27                36                   39  

F              End            58                70                   82

we know that;

Expected Time = ( Optimistic Time + ( 4 × most likely time) + pessimistic time) / 6

and

Variance = [( pessimistic time - Optimistic time) / 6 ]²

so

ACTIVITY              EXPECTED TIME                                 VARIANCE

A                   (44 + (4 × 50) + 56) / 6 = 50                    ((56 - 44) / 6)² = 4

B                   (45 + (4 × 60) + 75) / 6 = 60                    ((75 - 45) / 6)² = 25

C                  (42 + (4 × 45) + 48) / 6 = 45                    ((48 - 42) / 6)² = 1

D                   (31 + (4 * 40) + 49) / 6 = 40                     ((49 - 31) / 6)² = 9

E                   (27 + (4 * 36) + 39) / 6 = 35                     ((39 - 27) / 6)² = 4

F                   (58 + (4 * 70) + 82) / 6 = 70                     ((82 - 58) / 6)² = 16

ACTIVITY     DURATION      ES        EF        LS        LF        SLACK

A                   50                      0        50         0         50            0

B                   60                      0        60        30        90           30

C                   45                     50       95        50        95            0

D                   40                     60      100        90       130          30

E                    35                    95       130        95       130           0

F                    70                    130     200       130      200           0

FORWARD PASS:

ES = MAXIMUM EF OF ALL PREDECESSOR ACTIVITIES; 0 IF NO PREDECESSORS ARE PRESENT.

EF = ES + DURATION OF THE ACTIVITY.

CRITICAL PATH = PATH WITH THE LONGEST COMBINED DURATION VALUE AND 0 SLACK.

CRITICAL PATH = ACEF

DURATION OF PROJECT = 200

Now the probability

VARIANCE OF CRITICAL PATH = SIGMA(VARIANCE OF THE CRITICAL PATH) = 25

STANDARD DEVIATION OF CRITICAL PATH = SQRT(VARIANCE OF CRITICAL PATH) = 5

EXPECTED TIME = DURATION OF THE PROJECT = CRITICAL PATH = 200

DUE TIME = 210

Z = (DUE TIME - EXPECTED TIME) / STANDARD DEVIATION OF CRITICAL PATH)

Z = (210 - 200) / 5 = 2

Now form the Normal Distribution Table;

Z = 0.99725

Therefore, the probability that the critical path for this project will be completed within 210 days is 0.99725


Related Questions

If the function g(x) = f(x + 2), how can the graph of the function g(x) be obtained from the graph of f(x)?
by translating the graph of f(x) two units to the right


by translating the graph of f(x) two units to the left


by translating the graph of f(x) two units down


by translating the graph of f(x) two units up

Answers

Answer:

B). by translating the graph of f(x) two units to the left.

Translating a graph implies that the function of the graph is moved horizontally or vertically.

The true statement is (b) by translating the graph of f(x) two units to the left.

The function is given as:

[tex]\mathbf{g(x) = f(x + 2)}[/tex]

The rule of the above translation from f(x) to g(x) is represented as:

[tex]\mathbf{(x,y) \to (x + 2,y)}[/tex]

This means that:

Function f(x) is translated 2 units to the left to create function g(x).

Hence, the true statement is (b)

Read more about function translation at:

https://brainly.com/question/12100263

If line p has a slope of -1/2, what is the slope of a line ;
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Answers

Answer:

Parallel: -1/2

Perpendicular: 2

Step-by-step explanation:

The slope of a line parallel to another, always has the same slope as the line that it is parallel to.

The slope of a line perpendicular to another, always has the opposite reciprical to the line that it is perpendicular to.

Show below is a blueprint for a rectangular kennel at a pet hotel.

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Answers

Answer:

74 feet

Step-by-step explanation:

You're searching for perimeter

P = 2( L + W)

P = 2( 24 + 13)

P = 2( 37)

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Answers

Answer:

-1 1/2

Step-by-step explanation:

So first convert the 2/3 into a LCM of 2 1/6 which will be 4/6

Then convert 2 1/6 into an improper fraction

You’d get

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Work out the area of this triangle, stating the units of your answer.​

Answers

The area of the triangle is 27cm.

What is the total area of this polgon? PLEASE HELP

Answer choices
A)77
B)86
C)96
D)108

Answers

Answer:

96

Step-by-step explanation:

simple subtraction and multiplication

Answer:

my answer is c

Step-by-step explanation:

A tank that is 30% full contains 651 gallons of water. How much water does the tank hold when it is full?

Question 1 options:

1,620 gallons


2,160 gallons


1,627.5 gallons


2,170 gallons

Answers

last one 2170

Answer:

651=30 percent

x=100 percent

x=( 100×651)/30=2170 gallons

Answer:

2,170 gallons

Step-by-step explanation:

First you can see that at 30% we have 651 gallons so you want to multiply it by three because we are trying to get to 100% after you multiply it by three we have found out how much it is filled at 90% which is 1953  so then you want to divide 651 by 3 because all we need is 10 more percent to make it to 100% and 1/3 of 30% is 10% and 10% of 651 is 217.  Finally all you have to do is add 217 and 1953 and you get 2,170 gallons.

Hope this helps!

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Answers

Answer: 20% of 248.00 is the same as 10% + 10% of 248 and the answer is 49.6

49.6. This is because you put your Decimal 2 times to the left

Mr. Herrera has 4 cups of raisins to serve to his students as a snack. How many 19 of a cup of servings can Mr. Herrera make?

Answers

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Answers

Answer:

No it is more

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

no 15.19 is greater than 15.162

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

Answer: C

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Step-by-step explanation:

The required sum 

=(1+2+3+...+199)−(3+6+9+...+198)−(5+10+15+...+195)+(15+30+45+...+195)

=2199(1+199)−266(3+198)−239(5+195)+213(15+195)

 

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Answer:

10732

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Step-by-step explanation:

Mak brainilist

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Answers

I think it’s that but if it’s not than sorry
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Answers

Answer:

12.64 (unrounded)

Step-by-step explanation:

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you have your given which is 3 and hypotenuse of 13

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solve 9+b^2=169

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Answers

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Im here to steal ur points (and answer ur question)

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Answers

Answer:

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large dogs= 3

Step-by-step explanation:

Step one:

given data

let the  number of small dogs be x

and the number of large dogs be y

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110°

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

Then answer is 10.

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answer:

10

Step-by-step explanation:

1 Can= 200 sq ft

x cans= 1925 sq.ft

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Can the sides of a triangle have lengths 8, 13, and 20?

Answers

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yes but not if those numbers are the sides

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

yes

Step-by-step explanation:

The sum of any two sides of triangle should be more than the third side.

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Answers

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3

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Kara bought a chain originally marked $39.70. The
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Answers

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Airlines A and B each operate one flight per day between the cities of Hartford and Chicago; the daily passenger volume between the two cities is 350. Because the quality of service and departure times for both airlines are similar, we assume that passengersselect the flights with equal probability and independently of one another.

Required:
a. Let X denote the number of passengers on the flight operated by airline A. Describe the exact distribution of X; name it and identify the parameters.
b. If the plane for airline A carries 210 seats there is a positive probability that more than 210 passengers will turn up, in which case not all passengers can be accommodated. Estimate the probability of "overbooking"
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Answers

Answer:

X ~ (350, 0.5)

0.00009

Step-by-step explanation:

Given that:

Daily passenger volume = 350

Since both airlines A and B have equal probability ;

p = 0.5

n = 350

X ~ (n, p)

X ~ (350, 0.5)

B.)

Mean, m= np = 350 * 0.5 = 175

Standard deviation, s = sqrt(np(1-p)) = sqrt(350*0.5*0.5) = sqrt(87.5)

Obtaining standardized score, Z

Z = (x - m) / s

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Z = 35 / sqrt(87.5)

Z = 3.74

P(Z > 3.74) = 0.00009 (Z probability calculator)

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Answers

Answer:

1.26 is the price of one mile

Answer:

1 quart is $ 1. 26

Step-by-step explanation:

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Which expression can be used to find the difference between the two values?
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07+ (-18)

Answers

Answer:

18-(-7)

Step-by-step explanation:

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